The Bible is very easy to understand. But we Christians are a bunch of scheming swindlers. We pretend to be unable to understand it because we know very well that the minute we understand we are obliged to act accordingly. —Soren Kierkegaard

iPhone Deployment Predictions

Posted by Justin under Cell Phones View recent posts with the tag Cell Phones on Technorati PDA Phones View recent posts with the tag PDA Phones on Technorati Yahooglemazoft View recent posts with the tag Yahooglemazoft on Technorati 

As hundreds of thousands of people buy the iPhone and delight in its fabulous user interface, I predict that the following will happen:

  • People will be disappointed with the network speed, as some have already reported
  • People will love the UI and will show it off to friends. Some of them will drop their $600 gadget while showing it off. Big + shiny = easy to drop.
  • Some people will think it’s made of iridium and not get a case. They will end up with a scratched iPhone.

    iPhone

  • People will get irritated that other devices don’t have such good UIs. Enrollment in college courses focusing on user interface design will soar.
  • Supply will remain strong, though some areas will sell out.
  • People will gradually start to realize that half a dozen websites have iPhone-disassesmbly photosets, so they’ll stop trying to be the first to destroy theirs.
  • Someone will figure out how to unlock it, so you don’t have to use AT&T
  • The hundreds of auctions on eBay for the iPhone (currently ranging from $850 to $2,500 for the 8GB model) will result in a lot of people getting ripped off, just as we saw with the PS3 and Wii. eBay will start requiring the username to be written on a sheet of paper and included in the auction photos, but it’ll be a bit too late.
  • eBay will have to shut down a lot of ridiculous iPhone auctions, like this one for $21,000,000 (which isn’t really fraudulent, since you can use the “make an offer” feature to pay a less-absurd-but-still-crazy price, but people will put in bogus bids).
  • The torrent of ridiculous iPhone accessories will last until at least Christmas
  • The next iPhone will be even better, and people who wait for the 2nd iteration will not be sorry that they did.

Other iPhone predictions as people take them home and start using them?

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